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Scenarios for 2040

Scenarios for 2040

These scenarios look forward to 2040. The scenarios have now (1Q10) been finalised, although new ideas tend to emerge as we work them through in practical settings. Updates will, therefore, be posted from time to time. Your comments continue ot be invited.


A review of the key issues
The time frame for the predetermined factors
Snapshots from the scenario period
Archetype scenarios, and comment.
An ethnographic comparison between1950 and 2040, using the "snapshots" above 
 Politics and the 'people dimensions' of the archetypes
 Climate and other 'big systems' issues
Agency in the knowledge society
The impact of new capabilities and technologies
Draft scenarios: the process of debate and development
The finalised 2040 scenarios
Press release and summary

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